I know this is primarily a site for film reviews, but awards season is upon us, and trying to predict what these finicky associations can be a fun exercise (if you have the patience for it). So please indulge this short bout of amateur punditry. I don’t believe I’ll get it all right—I just want to see how close I can get.
Best Motion Picture: Drama
- BlacKkKlansman
- Black Panther
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- If Beale Street Could Talk
- A Star is Born
Alternatives: Can You Ever Forgive Me? / First Man / Widows
Best Motion Picture: Comedy or Musical
- Crazy Rich Asians
- The Favourite
- Green Book
- Mary Poppins Returns
- Vice
Alternatives: Eighth Grade / Private Life / Sorry to Bother You
Best Actor: Drama
- Bradley Cooper—A Star is Born (as Jackson Maine)
- Willem Dafoe—At Eternity’s Gate (as Vincent van Gogh)
- Ryan Gosling—First Man (as Neil Armstrong)
- Ethan Hawke—First Reformed (as Rev. Ernst Toller)
- Rami Malek—Bohemian Rhapsody (as Freddie Mercury)
Alternatives: Steve Carell (Beautiful Boy) / Hugh Jackman (The Front Runner) / John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman)
Best Actor: Comedy or Musical
- Christian Bale—Vice (as Dick Cheney)
- Lin-Manuel Miranda—Mary Poppins Returns (as Jack)
- Viggo Mortensen—Green Book (as Frank “Tony Lip” Vallelonga)
- Robert Redford—The Old Man & the Gun (as Forrest Tucker)
- John C. Reilly—Stan & Ollie (as Oliver Hardy)
Alternatives: Paul Giamatti (Private Life) / Henry Golding (Crazy Rich Asians) / Nick Robinson (Love, Simon)
Best Actress: Drama
- Glenn Close—The Wife (as Joan Castleman)
- Nicole Kidman—Destroyer (as Det. Erin Bell)
- Lady Gaga—A Star is Born (as Ally Maine)
- Melissa McCarthy—Can You Ever Forgive Me? (as Lee Israel)
- Natalie Portman—Vox Lux (as Celeste Montgomery)
Alternatives: Yalitza Aparicio (Roma) / Viola Davis (Widows) / Julia Roberts (Ben is Back)
Best Actress: Comedy or Musical
- Emily Blunt—Mary Poppins Returns (as Mary Poppins)
- Olivia Colman—The Favourite (as Queen Anne)
- Elsie Fisher—Eighth Grade (as Kayla Day)
- Lily James—Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! (as Donna Sheridan)
- Constance Wu—Crazy Rich Asians (as Rachel Chu)
Alternatives: Kathryn Hahn (Private Life) / Rachel McAdams (Game Night) / Charlize Theron (Tully)
Best Supporting Actor
- Mahershala Ali—Green Book (as Don Shirley)
- Timothée Chalamet—Beautiful Boy (as Nic Sheff)
- Sam Elliott—A Star is Born (as Bobby Maine)
- Richard E. Grant—Can You Ever Forgive Me? (as Jack Hock)
- Michael B. Jordan—Black Panther (as N’Jadaka / Erik “Killmonger” Stevens)
Alternatives: Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) / Nicholas Hoult (The Favourite) / Sam Rockwell (Vice)
Best Supporting Actress
- Amy Adams—Vice (as Lynne Cheney)
- Claire Foy—First Man (as Janet Armstrong)
- Regina King—If Beale Street Could Talk (as Sharon Rivers)
- Emma Stone—The Favourite (as Abigail Hill)
- Rachel Weisz—The Favourite (as Sarah Churchill)
Alternatives: Elizabeth Debicki (Widows) / Nicole Kidman (Boy Erased) / Michelle Yeoh (Crazy Rich Asians)
Best Director
- Bradley Cooper—A Star is Born
- Alfonso Cuarón—Roma
- Barry Jenkins—If Beale Street Could Talk
- Yorgos Lanthimos—The Favourite
- Spike Lee—BlacKkKlansman
Alternatives: Damien Chazelle (First Man) / Rob Marshall (Mary Poppins Returns) / Adam McKay (Vice)
Best Screenplay
- BlacKkKlansman
- The Favourite
- Green Book
- A Star is Born
- Vice
Alternatives: Eighth Grade / First Reformed / If Beale Street Could Talk
Best Animated Film
- Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch
- Incredibles 2
- Isle of Dogs
- Ralph Breaks the Internet
- Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Alternatives: Early Man / Mirai / Smallfoot
Best Foreign Language Film
- Capernaum
- Cold War
- The Guilty
- Never Look Away
- Roma
Alternatives: Border / Happy as Lazzaro / Shoplifters
Best Original Score
- Black Panther
- First Man
- If Beale Street Could Talk
- Mary Poppins Returns
- Widows
Alternatives: BlacKkKlansman / Isle of Dogs / Mary, Queen of Scots
Best Original Song
- Black Panther—“All the Stars”
- Boy Erased—”Revelation”
- Mary Poppins Returns—“Trip a Little Light Fantastic”
- A Star is Born—”Shallow”
- Vox Lux—“Wrapped Up”
Alternatives: Dumplin’ (“Girl in the Movies”) / Mary Poppins Returns (“The Place Where Lost Things Go”) / On the Basis of Sex (“Here Comes the Change”)
The Lonely Film Critic 