Predicting the 76th Golden Globes: The Nominations

I know this is primarily a site for film reviews, but awards season is upon us, and trying to predict what these finicky associations can be a fun exercise (if you have the patience for it). So please indulge this short bout of amateur punditry. I don’t believe I’ll get it all right—I just want to see how close I can get.

Best Motion Picture: Drama

  • BlacKkKlansman
  • Black Panther
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • A Star is Born

AlternativesCan You Ever Forgive Me? / First Man / Widows

Best Motion Picture: Comedy or Musical

  • Crazy Rich Asians
  • The Favourite
  • Green Book
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • Vice

AlternativesEighth Grade / Private Life / Sorry to Bother You

Best Actor: Drama

  • Bradley Cooper—A Star is Born (as Jackson Maine)
  • Willem Dafoe—At Eternity’s Gate (as Vincent van Gogh)
  • Ryan Gosling—First Man (as Neil Armstrong)
  • Ethan Hawke—First Reformed (as Rev. Ernst Toller)
  • Rami Malek—Bohemian Rhapsody (as Freddie Mercury)

Alternatives: Steve Carell (Beautiful Boy) / Hugh Jackman (The Front Runner) / John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman)

Best Actor: Comedy or Musical

  • Christian Bale—Vice (as Dick Cheney)
  • Lin-Manuel Miranda—Mary Poppins Returns (as Jack)
  • Viggo Mortensen—Green Book (as Frank “Tony Lip” Vallelonga)
  • Robert Redford—The Old Man & the Gun (as Forrest Tucker)
  • John C. Reilly—Stan & Ollie (as Oliver Hardy)

Alternatives: Paul Giamatti (Private Life) / Henry Golding (Crazy Rich Asians) / Nick Robinson (Love, Simon)

Best Actress: Drama

  • Glenn Close—The Wife (as Joan Castleman)
  • Nicole Kidman—Destroyer (as Det. Erin Bell)
  • Lady Gaga—A Star is Born (as Ally Maine)
  • Melissa McCarthy—Can You Ever Forgive Me? (as Lee Israel)
  • Natalie Portman—Vox Lux (as Celeste Montgomery)

Alternatives: Yalitza Aparicio (Roma) / Viola Davis (Widows) / Julia Roberts (Ben is Back)

Best Actress: Comedy or Musical

  • Emily Blunt—Mary Poppins Returns (as Mary Poppins)
  • Olivia Colman—The Favourite (as Queen Anne)
  • Elsie Fisher—Eighth Grade (as Kayla Day)
  • Lily James—Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! (as Donna Sheridan)
  • Constance Wu—Crazy Rich Asians (as Rachel Chu)

Alternatives: Kathryn Hahn (Private Life) / Rachel McAdams (Game Night) / Charlize Theron (Tully)

Best Supporting Actor

  • Mahershala Ali—Green Book (as Don Shirley)
  • Timothée Chalamet—Beautiful Boy (as Nic Sheff)
  • Sam Elliott—A Star is Born (as Bobby Maine)
  • Richard E. Grant—Can You Ever Forgive Me? (as Jack Hock)
  • Michael B. Jordan—Black Panther (as N’Jadaka / Erik “Killmonger” Stevens)

Alternatives: Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) / Nicholas Hoult (The Favourite) / Sam Rockwell (Vice)

Best Supporting Actress

  • Amy Adams—Vice (as Lynne Cheney)
  • Claire Foy—First Man (as Janet Armstrong)
  • Regina King—If Beale Street Could Talk (as Sharon Rivers)
  • Emma Stone—The Favourite (as Abigail Hill)
  • Rachel Weisz—The Favourite (as Sarah Churchill)

Alternatives: Elizabeth Debicki (Widows) / Nicole Kidman (Boy Erased) / Michelle Yeoh (Crazy Rich Asians)

Best Director

  • Bradley Cooper—A Star is Born
  • Alfonso Cuarón—Roma
  • Barry Jenkins—If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Yorgos Lanthimos—The Favourite
  • Spike Lee—BlacKkKlansman

Alternatives: Damien Chazelle (First Man) / Rob Marshall (Mary Poppins Returns) / Adam McKay (Vice)

Best Screenplay

  • BlacKkKlansman
  • The Favourite
  • Green Book
  • A Star is Born
  • Vice

AlternativesEighth GradeFirst ReformedIf Beale Street Could Talk

Best Animated Film

  • Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch
  • Incredibles 2
  • Isle of Dogs
  • Ralph Breaks the Internet
  • Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

AlternativesEarly ManMiraiSmallfoot

Best Foreign Language Film

  • Capernaum
  • Cold War
  • The Guilty
  • Never Look Away
  • Roma

AlternativesBorderHappy as LazzaroShoplifters

Best Original Score

  • Black Panther
  • First Man
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • Widows

AlternativesBlacKkKlansman / Isle of DogsMary, Queen of Scots

Best Original Song

  • Black Panther—“All the Stars”
  • Boy Erased—”Revelation”
  • Mary Poppins Returns—“Trip a Little Light Fantastic”
  • A Star is Born—”Shallow”
  • Vox Lux—“Wrapped Up”

AlternativesDumplin’ (“Girl in the Movies”) / Mary Poppins Returns (“The Place Where Lost Things Go”) / On the Basis of Sex (“Here Comes the Change”)

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